DocumentCode :
1910404
Title :
Does the Erlang C model fit in real call centers?
Author :
Robbins, Thomas R. ; Medeiros, D.J. ; Harrison, Terry P.
Author_Institution :
Dept. of Marketing & Supply Chain, East Carolina Univ., Greenville, NC, USA
fYear :
2010
fDate :
5-8 Dec. 2010
Firstpage :
2853
Lastpage :
2864
Abstract :
We consider the Erlang C model, a queuing model commonly used to analyze call center performance. Erlang C is a simple model that ignores caller abandonment and is the model most commonly used by practitioners and researchers. We compare the theoretical performance predictions of the Erlang C model to a call center simulation model where many of the Erlang C assumptions are relaxed. Our findings indicate that the Erlang C model is subject to significant error in predicting system performance, but that these errors are heavily biased and most likely to be pessimistic, i.e. the system tends to perform better than predicted. It may be the case that the model´s tendency to provide pessimistic (i.e. conservative) estimates helps explain its continued popularity. Prediction error is strongly correlated with the abandonment rate so the model works best in call centers with large numbers of agents and relatively low utilization rates.
Keywords :
call centres; queueing theory; Erlang C model; call center performance; caller abandonment; prediction error; queuing model; system performance; Analytical models; Biological system modeling; Exponential distribution; Gallium nitride; Mathematical model; Predictive models; Productivity;
fLanguage :
English
Publisher :
ieee
Conference_Titel :
Simulation Conference (WSC), Proceedings of the 2010 Winter
Conference_Location :
Baltimore, MD
ISSN :
0891-7736
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-9866-6
Type :
conf
DOI :
10.1109/WSC.2010.5678980
Filename :
5678980
Link To Document :
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