DocumentCode
1910404
Title
Does the Erlang C model fit in real call centers?
Author
Robbins, Thomas R. ; Medeiros, D.J. ; Harrison, Terry P.
Author_Institution
Dept. of Marketing & Supply Chain, East Carolina Univ., Greenville, NC, USA
fYear
2010
fDate
5-8 Dec. 2010
Firstpage
2853
Lastpage
2864
Abstract
We consider the Erlang C model, a queuing model commonly used to analyze call center performance. Erlang C is a simple model that ignores caller abandonment and is the model most commonly used by practitioners and researchers. We compare the theoretical performance predictions of the Erlang C model to a call center simulation model where many of the Erlang C assumptions are relaxed. Our findings indicate that the Erlang C model is subject to significant error in predicting system performance, but that these errors are heavily biased and most likely to be pessimistic, i.e. the system tends to perform better than predicted. It may be the case that the model´s tendency to provide pessimistic (i.e. conservative) estimates helps explain its continued popularity. Prediction error is strongly correlated with the abandonment rate so the model works best in call centers with large numbers of agents and relatively low utilization rates.
Keywords
call centres; queueing theory; Erlang C model; call center performance; caller abandonment; prediction error; queuing model; system performance; Analytical models; Biological system modeling; Exponential distribution; Gallium nitride; Mathematical model; Predictive models; Productivity;
fLanguage
English
Publisher
ieee
Conference_Titel
Simulation Conference (WSC), Proceedings of the 2010 Winter
Conference_Location
Baltimore, MD
ISSN
0891-7736
Print_ISBN
978-1-4244-9866-6
Type
conf
DOI
10.1109/WSC.2010.5678980
Filename
5678980
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