• DocumentCode
    1910404
  • Title

    Does the Erlang C model fit in real call centers?

  • Author

    Robbins, Thomas R. ; Medeiros, D.J. ; Harrison, Terry P.

  • Author_Institution
    Dept. of Marketing & Supply Chain, East Carolina Univ., Greenville, NC, USA
  • fYear
    2010
  • fDate
    5-8 Dec. 2010
  • Firstpage
    2853
  • Lastpage
    2864
  • Abstract
    We consider the Erlang C model, a queuing model commonly used to analyze call center performance. Erlang C is a simple model that ignores caller abandonment and is the model most commonly used by practitioners and researchers. We compare the theoretical performance predictions of the Erlang C model to a call center simulation model where many of the Erlang C assumptions are relaxed. Our findings indicate that the Erlang C model is subject to significant error in predicting system performance, but that these errors are heavily biased and most likely to be pessimistic, i.e. the system tends to perform better than predicted. It may be the case that the model´s tendency to provide pessimistic (i.e. conservative) estimates helps explain its continued popularity. Prediction error is strongly correlated with the abandonment rate so the model works best in call centers with large numbers of agents and relatively low utilization rates.
  • Keywords
    call centres; queueing theory; Erlang C model; call center performance; caller abandonment; prediction error; queuing model; system performance; Analytical models; Biological system modeling; Exponential distribution; Gallium nitride; Mathematical model; Predictive models; Productivity;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Simulation Conference (WSC), Proceedings of the 2010 Winter
  • Conference_Location
    Baltimore, MD
  • ISSN
    0891-7736
  • Print_ISBN
    978-1-4244-9866-6
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/WSC.2010.5678980
  • Filename
    5678980