Title :
Bootstrapping-based fixed-width confidence intervals for ranking and selection
Author :
Bekki, Jennifer M. ; Nelson, Barry L. ; Fowler, John W.
Author_Institution :
Arizona State Univ. at the Polytech. Campus, Mesa, AZ, USA
Abstract :
A ranking and selection (R&S) procedure allowing comparisons between systems to be made based on any distributional property of interest would be useful. This paper presents initial work toward the development of such a procedure. Previously published work gives a method for using bootstrapping to develop fixed-width confidence intervals with a specified coverage probability around a property of interest. Empirical evidence is provided in support of the use of this approach for building fixed-width confidence intervals around both means and quantiles. Additionally, the use of fixed-width confidence intervals for bootstrapped R&S is demonstrated. For two systems, R&S is performed by building a confidence interval around the difference between two systems. Simultaneous fixed-width confidence intervals are used for R&S on more than 2 systems, and the approach is demonstrated for three systems. The technique is shown to be effective for R&S based on both quantiles and means.
Keywords :
probability; statistical analysis; bootstrapping; coverage probability; distributional property; empirical evidence; fixed-width confidence intervals; ranking procedure; selection procedure; Buildings; Gaussian distribution; Monte Carlo methods; Nickel; Shape; USA Councils;
Conference_Titel :
Simulation Conference (WSC), Proceedings of the 2010 Winter
Conference_Location :
Baltimore, MD
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-9866-6
DOI :
10.1109/WSC.2010.5679087