DocumentCode :
1922425
Title :
Prediction of Asian Steel Price Index Using Fuzzy Time Series
Author :
Chou, Ming-Tao
Author_Institution :
Dept. of Aviation & Maritime Transp. Manage., Chang Jung Christian Univ., Tainan, Taiwan
fYear :
2012
fDate :
26-28 Sept. 2012
Firstpage :
185
Lastpage :
188
Abstract :
The Asian steel price index is a leading indicator of the Asian economy. Studying the collection of Asian steel price index data and establishing a fuzzy time series model used to analyze the relationship between the remuneration of the Asian steel price index rate of change in the future. The results of the analysis are as follows. (1) The model showed that the predictive value of the 2012 Asian steel price index is 211.86 and its trading range fluctuates (74.57, 211.86). (2) The Asian steel price index index rate of return is still positive, and the prediction error within the group averages 3.90%; an error range of less than 5 percent indicates a good prediction model.
Keywords :
fuzzy set theory; pricing; steel; time series; Asian steel price index; fuzzy time series model; good prediction model; predictive value; Forecasting; Fuzzy sets; Indexes; Predictive models; Production; Steel; Time series analysis; Fuzzy; Fuzzy time series; Stell price index;
fLanguage :
English
Publisher :
ieee
Conference_Titel :
Innovations in Bio-Inspired Computing and Applications (IBICA), 2012 Third International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Kaohsiung
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4673-2838-8
Type :
conf
DOI :
10.1109/IBICA.2012.26
Filename :
6337661
Link To Document :
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