DocumentCode :
1934135
Title :
Dynamic pricing under binary demand uncertainty: A multi-armed bandit with correlated arms
Author :
Zhai, Yixuan ; Tehrani, Pouya ; Li, Lin ; Zhao, Jiang ; Zhao, Qing
Author_Institution :
Dept. of Electr. & Comput. Eng., Univ. of California, Davis, CA, USA
fYear :
2011
fDate :
6-9 Nov. 2011
Firstpage :
1597
Lastpage :
1601
Abstract :
We consider a dynamic pricing problem with unknown demand models. In this problem, a seller offers prices sequentially to a stream of potential customers and observes either success or failure in each sales attempt. The underlying demand model is unknown and can take one of two possible forms. We show that the problem can be formulated as a two-armed bandit with correlated arms. We develop a dynamic pricing policy based on likelihood ratio test that offers a finite regret, where regret is defined as the revenue loss with respect to the case with a known demand model. We further generalize this policy by introducing an exploration price to improve the regret. The exploration price is set to be the one that maximizes the Kullback-Leibler divergence between the two demand models.
Keywords :
maximum likelihood estimation; optimisation; pricing; supply and demand; Kullback-Leibler divergence; binary demand uncertainty; correlated arms; demand model; dynamic pricing policy; dynamic pricing problem; exploration price; likelihood ratio test; multiarmed bandit; revenue loss; sales failure; sales success; two-armed bandit; Bayesian methods; Biological system modeling; History; Markov processes; Mathematical model; Pricing; Random variables; Dynamic Pricing; maximum likelihood detection; multi-armed bandit problem;
fLanguage :
English
Publisher :
ieee
Conference_Titel :
Signals, Systems and Computers (ASILOMAR), 2011 Conference Record of the Forty Fifth Asilomar Conference on
Conference_Location :
Pacific Grove, CA
ISSN :
1058-6393
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4673-0321-7
Type :
conf
DOI :
10.1109/ACSSC.2011.6190289
Filename :
6190289
Link To Document :
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