Title :
Predicting chaotic time series using adaptive wavelet-fuzzy inference system
Author :
Lin, Yuetong ; Wang, Fei-Yue
Author_Institution :
Syst. & Ind. Eng. Dept., Arizona Univ., Tucson, AZ, USA
Abstract :
Predicting traffic flow is of extreme importance in traffic modeling and congestion control. The traffic data usually exhibit chaotic dynamics that can be readily modeled and analyzed using time series. Traditional tools for time series analysis have been focused on exploring the statistical properties of the data. On the other hand, it has been long observed that times series can be considered as the output of nonlinear dynamic system. The development of computational intelligence methodology and its composing methods including fuzzy logic and neural networks has provided a new powerful tool for time series analysis. The paper represents a novel method of using a hybrid networks following the fuzzy logic inference mechanism to predict chaotic times series.
Keywords :
chaos; discrete wavelet transforms; feedforward neural nets; fuzzy logic; inference mechanisms; learning (artificial intelligence); nonlinear dynamical systems; prediction theory; time series; traffic control; traffic information systems; adaptive wavelet-fuzzy inference system; chaotic dynamics; chaotic time series prediction; computational intelligence; congestion control; fuzzy logic inference mechanism; hybrid networks; neural networks; nonlinear dynamic system; statistical properties; traffic data model; traffic flow prediction; wavelet network; Adaptive systems; Chaos; Computational intelligence; Fuzzy logic; Inference mechanisms; Neural networks; Nonlinear dynamical systems; Predictive models; Time series analysis; Traffic control;
Conference_Titel :
Intelligent Vehicles Symposium, 2005. Proceedings. IEEE
Print_ISBN :
0-7803-8961-1
DOI :
10.1109/IVS.2005.1505218