• DocumentCode
    1960112
  • Title

    Aircraft spares consumption prediction based on combined forecasting method

  • Author

    Guo Feng ; Liu Chen-yu ; Zhou Bin ; Wang Yu-hai

  • Author_Institution
    Naval Aeronaut. Eng. Inst., Qingdao, China
  • Volume
    2
  • fYear
    2012
  • fDate
    20-21 Oct. 2012
  • Firstpage
    297
  • Lastpage
    299
  • Abstract
    According to the problem in the work of the application and order of Spares, propose to found a prediction model based on the combined forecasting method, comprehensively utilizing the linear exponential smoothing, secondary exponential smoothing and cubic exponential smoothing to optimize the results of these three methods, solved it by the nonlinear programming method. The prediction results show that the model predicts accurately, with high utility and promotion value.
  • Keywords
    aerospace components; forecasting theory; maintenance engineering; nonlinear programming; smoothing methods; aircraft spare consumption prediction; combined forecasting method; cubic exponential smoothing; linear exponential smoothing; nonlinear programming method; prediction model; secondary exponential smoothing; Forecasting; Indexes; combined forecasting; cubic exponential smoothing; linear exponential smoothing; secondary exponential smoothing; spares consumption;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Information Management, Innovation Management and Industrial Engineering (ICIII), 2012 International Conference on
  • Conference_Location
    Sanya
  • Print_ISBN
    978-1-4673-1932-4
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/ICIII.2012.6339837
  • Filename
    6339837