DocumentCode
1971422
Title
Comparison of Different Approaches to Scientists and Technicians Forecasting
Author
Li, Wuwei
Author_Institution
Zhengzhou Inst. of Aeronaut. Ind. Manage., Zhengzhou, China
fYear
2010
fDate
22-23 June 2010
Firstpage
341
Lastpage
344
Abstract
Based on the statistical data during the period from 2003 to 2008 released by Henan Statistical Bureau in China, this paper focused on forecasting the amount of the scientists and technicians of Henan province in China, using GM (1, 1) model and regression model. The result of this empirical study is that the grey prediction theory can fit the scientists and technicians amount development precisely in Henan province. The accuracy of the prediction result from GM (1, 1) model is higher than that from regression model, and corresponds with a distinction, which the grey theory can meet expectations with small samples or data. Research results show that this model established in this paper could provide valuable information for policy makers in their efforts to make appropriate technological policies.
Keywords
economic forecasting; forecasting theory; grey systems; regression analysis; China; GM model; Henan Statistical Bureau; Henan province; grey prediction theory; regression model; scientists; statistical data; technicians; technological policy; Analytical models; Biological system modeling; Data models; Economics; Forecasting; Mathematical model; Predictive models; 1) method; GM (1; Grey theory; Henan province; Regression model; Scientists and technicians;
fLanguage
English
Publisher
ieee
Conference_Titel
Intelligent Computing and Cognitive Informatics (ICICCI), 2010 International Conference on
Conference_Location
Kuala Lumpur
Print_ISBN
978-1-4244-6640-5
Electronic_ISBN
978-1-4244-6641-2
Type
conf
DOI
10.1109/ICICCI.2010.104
Filename
5565965
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