An application of scenario analysis for long-term electricity distribution network development

This paper presents initial results of a research project entitled `Long-term Development Strategies for Electricity Distribution Networks´. The project aims at developing and applying (new) methodologies for dealing with uncertainties in asset management, more specifically, in the development of the electricity distribution network. In this paper, a traditional methodology, i.e. scenario analysis, is applied. Scenarios are developed taking electricity distribution network operators (DNOs) as problem owner. This paper presents the scenario development processes and the resulting scenarios.