• DocumentCode
    1974483
  • Title

    Chaotic characteristic analysis and short-term prediction of power daily load

  • Author

    Liu, Ping ; Lu, Ling ; Liu, Shujun

  • Author_Institution
    Electr. Eng. & Renewable Energy Sch., China Three Gorges Univ., Yichang, China
  • fYear
    2011
  • fDate
    16-18 Sept. 2011
  • Firstpage
    117
  • Lastpage
    120
  • Abstract
    The chaotic characteristics of power system daily load sequence in the certain city is analyzed and calculated based on saturated correlation dimension method, it give a conclusion that power load time series belongs to chaotic series. Short-term power load forecasting is accomplished by using local linear prediction method based on phase space reconstruction theory. The prediction results show that the prediction method has high prediction accuracy and conformity rate.
  • Keywords
    correlation methods; load forecasting; time series; chaotic characteristic analysis; chaotic series; local linear prediction method; phase space reconstruction theory; power load time series; power system daily load sequence; saturated correlation dimension method; short-term power load forecasting; short-term power system daily load prediction; Chaos; Correlation; Delay; Image reconstruction; Load forecasting; Power system stability; Time series analysis; Chaotic sequnce; Load forecasting; Phase space reconstruction;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Electrical and Control Engineering (ICECE), 2011 International Conference on
  • Conference_Location
    Yichang
  • Print_ISBN
    978-1-4244-8162-0
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/ICECENG.2011.6057116
  • Filename
    6057116