Title :
A New Hybrid Network Traffic Prediction Method
Author :
Xiang, Lin ; Ge, Xiao-Hu ; Liu, Chuang ; Shu, Lei ; Wang, Cheng-Xiang
Author_Institution :
Dept. Electron. & Inf. Eng., Huazhong Univ. of Sci. & Technol., Wuhan, China
Abstract :
How to predict the self-similar network traffic with high burstiness is a great challenge for network management. The covariation orthogonal prediction could effectively capture the burstiness in the network traffic, and the artificial neural network prediction could adapt the network traffic change by self-learning. To improve the prediction accuracy, we propose a new hybrid network traffic prediction method based on the combination of the covariation orthogonal prediction and the artificial neural network prediction. Through empirical study, the accuracy of the new prediction method can be effectively improved seen from the mean and the prediction error.
Keywords :
covariance analysis; neural nets; prediction theory; telecommunication computing; telecommunication network management; telecommunication traffic; unsupervised learning; artificial neural network prediction; covariation orthogonal prediction; high burstiness; hybrid network traffic prediction method; network management; prediction accuracy; prediction error; self-learning; self-similar network traffic; Accuracy; Artificial neural networks; Computational modeling; Predictive models; Time series analysis; Wireless communication;
Conference_Titel :
Global Telecommunications Conference (GLOBECOM 2010), 2010 IEEE
Conference_Location :
Miami, FL
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-5636-9
Electronic_ISBN :
1930-529X
DOI :
10.1109/GLOCOM.2010.5684249