Notice of RetractionHydrologic impact of climate change on the Mississippi River

Notice of Retraction

After careful and considered review of the content of this paper by a duly constituted expert committee, this paper has been found to be in violation of IEEE´s Publication Principles.

We hereby retract the content of this paper. Reasonable effort should be made to remove all past references to this paper.

The presenting author of this paper has the option to appeal this decision by contacting TPII@ieee.org.

The impact of climate change on stream flow in the Upper Mississippi River Basin (UMRB) is assessed by using a hydrologic model, the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT), coupled with the output from a regional climate model (RCM). The SWAT model was calibrated and validated against measured streamflow data using observed weather and watershed data. The potential impacts of climate change on water yield and other hydrologic budget components were then quantified by driving SWAT with current (2000s) and future climates (2040s). A 21 percent increase in future precipitation simulated by the RCM produced an 18 percent increase in snowfall, a 51 percent increase in surface runoff, and a 43 percent increase in groundwater recharge, resulting in a 50 percent net increase in total water yield in the UMRB on an annual basis.