DocumentCode :
2021461
Title :
Model of Investment Risk Prediction Based on Neural Network and Data Mining Technique for Construction Project
Author :
Xu, Wang
Author_Institution :
Coll. of Civil Eng., Northeast Forestry Univ., Harbin
Volume :
1
fYear :
2008
fDate :
17-18 Oct. 2008
Firstpage :
373
Lastpage :
378
Abstract :
The operating status of a construction project is disclosed periodically in investment risks. As a result, investors usually only get information about the investment risks, an employer may be in after the formal financial statement has been published. If the employer executives intentionally package financial statements with the purpose of hiding the actual status of the constructive project, then investors will have even less chance of obtaining the real financial information. To improve the accuracy of the investment risk prediction, risk ratios, non-risk ratios, and factor analysis had been used to extract adaptable variables. Moreover, the neural network and data mining technique were used to build the investment risk prediction model. The empirical experiment with a total of risk and non-risk ratios and projects as the initial samples obtained a satisfactory result, which testifies for the feasibility and validity of our proposed methods for the investment risks prediction of constructive project.
Keywords :
construction industry; data mining; financial management; investment; neural nets; risk analysis; construction project; data mining; factor analysis; formal financial statement; investment risk prediction model; neural network; nonrisk ratio; real financial information; Artificial intelligence; Artificial neural networks; Data mining; Delta modulation; Economic forecasting; Investments; Neural networks; Neurons; Predictive models; Risk analysis; construction project; data mining; investment risk; neural network; prediction;
fLanguage :
English
Publisher :
ieee
Conference_Titel :
Computational Intelligence and Design, 2008. ISCID '08. International Symposium on
Conference_Location :
Wuhan
Print_ISBN :
978-0-7695-3311-7
Type :
conf
DOI :
10.1109/ISCID.2008.206
Filename :
4725630
Link To Document :
بازگشت