Title :
The Application of Estate Storage Investment of Monte Carlo Simulation Model
Author :
Cao Qingkui ; Di Xuekun ; Zhang Xianxin
Author_Institution :
Coll. of Econ. & Manage., Hebei Univ. of Eng., Handan
Abstract :
This essay analyzes the development trend of the estate storage at home and abroad at present and the factors of estate storage investment risk under financial crisis. The conception of the estate storage investment risk have been defined . We introduce risk degree model and risk probability model, also, we combined with Monte Carlo simulation model to analyze traditional net present value model and risk degree model and investment risk probability model which are used in analysis of estate storage investment risk. Using the Monte Carlo simulation model to simulate the example which have been given in this essay, according to simulation results we draw diagrams for risk analysis and risk assessment to help us to understand which is most influence factors for solution, then we can describe the reliability of the simulation by accumulate probability charts.
Keywords :
Monte Carlo methods; investment; probability; property market; risk analysis; Monte Carlo simulation model; estate storage investment; financial crisis; investment risk; net present value; probability chart; risk analysis; risk assessment; risk degree; risk probability; Analytical models; Capacity planning; Crisis management; Educational institutions; Engineering management; Financial management; Investments; Logistics; Risk analysis; Risk management;
Conference_Titel :
Intelligent Systems and Applications, 2009. ISA 2009. International Workshop on
Conference_Location :
Wuhan
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-3893-8
Electronic_ISBN :
978-1-4244-3894-5
DOI :
10.1109/IWISA.2009.5073167
