Title :
Weighted parallel algorithm to improve the performance of short-term wind power forecasting
Author :
Jie Shi ; Wei-Jen Lee
Author_Institution :
Sch. of Energy, Power & Mech. Eng., North China Electr. Power Univ., Beijing, China
Abstract :
The increased integration of wind power into the electric grid poses new challenges due to its fluctuation and volatility. Accurate short term wind power forecasting is one of the most effective ways to mitigate these challenges. As every forecasting algorithm has its advantages and weaknesses, the forecasting accuracy varies when these models are applied to different wind farms due to non-uniform characteristics of wind patterns. Therefore, a weighted parallel algorithm which combines the individual forecasting models together is proposed. For variable data from a wind farm, the model can adjust and optimize portion of individual models. Compared with each single model, the weighted parallel algorithm has better robust adaptation which can improve the forecasting precision.
Keywords :
load forecasting; power grids; wind power plants; electric grid; forecasting precision; nonuniform characteristics; robust adaptation; short term wind power forecasting; weighted parallel algorithm; wind farm; Artificial neural networks; Data models; Forecasting; Predictive models; Support vector machines; Wind power generation; Wind speed; Artificial Neural Network; Model Optimization; Short Term Wind Power Forecasting; Support Vector Machines; Weighted Parallel Algorithm;
Conference_Titel :
Power and Energy Society General Meeting, 2012 IEEE
Conference_Location :
San Diego, CA
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4673-2727-5
Electronic_ISBN :
1944-9925
DOI :
10.1109/PESGM.2012.6344992