Title :
Dependent Mode Outages in analysis and prediction of multiple outage states
Author_Institution :
TRC Eng., Chicago, IL, USA
Abstract :
This paper summarizes the causes of Dependent Mode Outages of Bulk Power System Elements; gives guidance for the estimation and confidence interval for their conditional probability; and indicates how they can be included in a Markov model of multiple outages. It also proposes a conceptual extension of such outages to include Power System Condition dependent outages due to cascading and instability.
Keywords :
Markov processes; load forecasting; power systems; probability; Markov model; bulk power system element; conceptual extension; dependent mode outages analysis; estimation guidance; multiple outage state; power system condition; prediction analysis; probability; Circuit breakers; Maintenance engineering; Markov processes; Meteorology; Power system stability; Relays; Substations; dependent outage; failure of response function; forced outage; power system reliability; probability of failure; related multiple outage event;
Conference_Titel :
Power and Energy Society General Meeting, 2012 IEEE
Conference_Location :
San Diego, CA
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4673-2727-5
Electronic_ISBN :
1944-9925
DOI :
10.1109/PESGM.2012.6345073
