Title :
Normalized Expected Utility-Entropy investment decision model and its application in stock selection
Author :
Yang, Jiping ; Zhang, Lijian ; Chen, Xiaoxuan
Author_Institution :
Sch. of Econ. & Manage., Beihang Univ., Beijing, China
Abstract :
We first introduce the normalized Expected Utility-Entropy (EU-E) decision model, which is a weighted linear average of normalized expected utility and information entropy. Based on the normalized EU-E decision model, we establish a normalized EU-E investment decision model. Then we apply the model to stock selection when we invest in the 40 sample stocks of Shenzhen component index. It has concluded that portfolios of 4 stocks selected by normalized EU-E model with larger tradeoff coefficient λ are more efficient than that of those selected with smaller tradeoff coefficient λ with relative general utility function. Thus, this has demonstrated that we should not only take the expected utility of a risky action itself into account but also the information entropy to measure the uncertainty of the state of nature, which further verified the usefulness of the information entropy.
Keywords :
decision making; entropy; investment; stock markets; utility theory; Shenzhen component index; information entropy; investment decision model; normalized expected utility; relative general utility function; stock selection; tradeoff coefficient; weighted linear average; Entropy; Portfolios; EU-E decision model; information entropy; investment decision; stock selection;
Conference_Titel :
Progress in Informatics and Computing (PIC), 2010 IEEE International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Shanghai
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-6788-4
DOI :
10.1109/PIC.2010.5687461