Title :
Forecast to Textile and Garment Exports Based on Holt Model
Author :
Xia, Li ; Yaomei, Guo ; Weiwei, Song
Author_Institution :
Manage. Coll., Xi´´an Polytech. Univ., Xi´´an, China
Abstract :
Textile and garment trade occupys an important position in our country. Article started from the amount of textile and garment exports using China´s textile and garment export trade data, from 1992 to 2008. Based on the use of Holt model to predict the export in different stages. Result shows that the Holt model has a high prediction accuracy for predicting textile and garment exports. And predicted 2009 and 2010 exports, wishing to contribute to provide a series of adjustments of policies, strategies depending on the forecast for the relevant departments.
Keywords :
clothing industry; forecasting theory; international trade; textile industry; China; Holt model; export forecasts; export prediction; garment exports; international trade; textile exports; Biological system modeling; Clothing; Data models; Fitting; Predictive models; Smoothing methods; Textiles; Export forecasts; Holt model; Smoothing factor; Textiles and garments;
Conference_Titel :
Information Science and Management Engineering (ISME), 2010 International Conference of
Conference_Location :
Xi´an
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-7669-5
Electronic_ISBN :
978-1-4244-7670-1
DOI :
10.1109/ISME.2010.44
