Title :
A Combination of Pruning Algorithm and Parallel Networks Structure to Increase the Generalization of Neural Networks Used for Short-Term Load Forecasting of Iran Power System
Author :
Amirarfaei, F. ; Menhaj, M.B. ; Barghinia, S.
Author_Institution :
Electr. Eng., AUT, Tehran, Iran
Abstract :
In short term load forecasting using Neural Networks, when the training data is contaminated with high noise, this noise is mapped into network´s weights, and causes increasing of forecasting error. This forecasting error make us apply some methods to increase accuracy in neural net. In this paper, load forecasting of such power systems is done based on employing two methods: Pruning algorithm and parallel networks structure. Considerable error reduction using these methods confirms that both methods improve the generalization of neural nets. Results of Tehran load forecasting whose training data is contaminated with high noise is a subsidiary of the ability of these methods in improving the generalization.
Keywords :
load forecasting; neural nets; power engineering computing; power system planning; Iran power system; Pruning algorithm; Tehran load forecasting; error reduction; network weights; neural networks; parallel networks structure; power system planning; short-term load forecasting; Artificial neural networks; Economic forecasting; Fuel economy; Load forecasting; Neural networks; Power generation economics; Power system economics; Power system planning; Power systems; Training data;
Conference_Titel :
Power and Energy Engineering Conference (APPEEC), 2010 Asia-Pacific
Conference_Location :
Chengdu
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-4812-8
Electronic_ISBN :
978-1-4244-4813-5
DOI :
10.1109/APPEEC.2010.5448648