• DocumentCode
    2102741
  • Title

    Mixed Financial Forecasting Index System Construct and Financial Forecasting Study on the C4.5 Decision Tree

  • Author

    Liu, Chunmei ; Jiang, Qian

  • Author_Institution
    Sch. of Inf. Manage. & Eng., Shanghai Univ. of Finance & Econ., Shanghai, China
  • fYear
    2009
  • fDate
    20-22 Sept. 2009
  • Firstpage
    1
  • Lastpage
    4
  • Abstract
    The current research to construct financial risk forecasting model is base on a suppose: accounting information is real. But the action of enterprise profit control makes the application of financial risk forecasting system lack significance. Hence, this paper introduces non-financial index into financial risk forecasting system to establish mix financial index evaluation system including financial index and non-financial index, and also introduces C4.5 decision tree arithmetic into the modeling process. It also conducts an empirical analysis of listed companies´ financial risk model using the data of 2005 years and 2006 years. The result shows that: the forecasting capability of mix financial index model is better than the model only using financial index.
  • Keywords
    decision trees; financial management; forecasting theory; risk analysis; C4.5 decision tree; accounting information; enterprise profit control; financial forecasting index system; financial risk forecasting system; nonfinancial index; Companies; Decision trees; Economic forecasting; Finance; Information management; Logic; Manufacturing industries; Multi-layer neural network; Neural networks; Predictive models;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Management and Service Science, 2009. MASS '09. International Conference on
  • Conference_Location
    Wuhan
  • Print_ISBN
    978-1-4244-4638-4
  • Electronic_ISBN
    978-1-4244-4639-1
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/ICMSS.2009.5302147
  • Filename
    5302147