No exponential is forever: but "Forever" can be delayed! [semiconductor industry]

Author

Moore, G.E.

fYear

2003

fDate

13-13 Feb. 2003

Firstpage

20

Abstract

By any measure, the semiconductor industry has experienced fantastic growth over the last 50 years. Starting from nothing, it has now passed $200 billion in annual revenue and has become the foundation of a trillion-dollar electronics industry. This unprecedented growth is the result of the combination of a unique technology and an extremely elastic market. Over this brief history, many parameters relating to the industry have changed approximately exponentially with time. These include chip complexity, chip performance, feature size, and the numbers of transistors produced each year. This talk will explore some of these trends, and will look at the current status of silicon technology, and at challenges going forward.

Keywords

electronics industry; semiconductor technology; technological forecasting; electronics industry; semiconductor industry; silicon technology; Automobile manufacture; Costs; Delay; Electronics industry; Integrated circuit measurements; Integrated circuit technology; Manufacturing industries; Production; Solid state circuits; Transistors;

fLanguage

English

Publisher

ieee

Conference_Titel

Solid-State Circuits Conference, 2003. Digest of Technical Papers. ISSCC. 2003 IEEE International

Conference_Location

San Francisco, CA, USA

ISSN

0193-6530

Print_ISBN

0-7803-7707-9

Type

conf

DOI

10.1109/ISSCC.2003.1234194

Filename

1234194