• DocumentCode
    2107370
  • Title

    The Improved Markov Error Correcting Method in Gray SVM for Power Load Forecasting

  • Author

    Niu, Dongxiao ; Lv, Jia Liang ; Zhang, Xingzhi

  • Author_Institution
    Sch. of Bus. Adm., North China Electr. Power Univ., Baoding
  • fYear
    2008
  • fDate
    21-22 Dec. 2008
  • Firstpage
    793
  • Lastpage
    796
  • Abstract
    As the power load forecasting sequence has stochastic growth and nonlinear wave characteristics, grey SVM can effective reflect the growth properties of the sequence and fit the nonlinear relation. Markov chain can easily embody the random characteristic of system by complex factors, so the Markov chain error correction method was introduce in this paper, the whole forecasting precision of the sequence was optimized, and the transfer matrix for the forecasting sequence was decided, then the accuracy for power load forecasting was greatly improved. Through the demonstration test, the precision is better than ingenuous grey SVM, the method in this paper have feasibility in practice.
  • Keywords
    Markov processes; error correction; grey systems; load forecasting; matrix algebra; optimisation; power engineering computing; random processes; random sequences; support vector machines; Markov error correcting method; gray SVM; nonlinear relation; nonlinear wave characteristics; optimization problem; power load forecasting; random characteristic; support vector machine; transfer matrix; Computer errors; Error correction; Information technology; Load forecasting; Optimization methods; Predictive models; Stochastic systems; Support vector machines; Technology forecasting; Testing; Power load; SVM algorithm; markov chain;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Intelligent Information Technology Application Workshops, 2008. IITAW '08. International Symposium on
  • Conference_Location
    Shanghai
  • Print_ISBN
    978-0-7695-3505-0
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/IITA.Workshops.2008.88
  • Filename
    4732056