Title :
Electrical Load Forecasting Based on Fuzzy Wavelet Neural Networks
Author :
Li, Xiaoxia ; Zhang, Yanli ; Cai, Liya
Author_Institution :
Inf. & Electron. Eng., Hebei Univ. of Eng. Handan, Handan
Abstract :
In view of the defects of the prediction model based on neural network, such as when doing prediction of nonlinear sequence, it is likely to fall into local hypo-strong point, and the rate of training is very slow, based on the traditional prediction model using neural network, a novel short-term electrical load prediction model based on fuzzy wavelet neural networks (FWN) is presented in this paper. The prediction effect of wavelet neural network prediction model is proved in Matlab7.0 simulation environment. A better prediction result is gained, and the defect of falling into local hypo-strongpoint is overcome, at the same time, the rate of training is raised compared with the prediction model based on neural network. The calculation result shows that the presented model is effective.
Keywords :
fuzzy neural nets; fuzzy set theory; load forecasting; power engineering computing; power markets; wavelet transforms; Matlab7.0 simulation environment; electrical load forecasting; fuzzy wavelet neural networks; local hypo-strong point; nonlinear sequence; prediction model; Artificial neural networks; Biomedical engineering; Economic forecasting; Electricity supply industry; Fuzzy neural networks; Load forecasting; Mathematical model; Neural networks; Power generation economics; Predictive models; fuzzy wavelet neural networks; nonlinear sequence; prediction;
Conference_Titel :
Future BioMedical Information Engineering, 2008. FBIE '08. International Seminar on
Conference_Location :
Wuhan, Hubei
Print_ISBN :
978-0-7695-3561-6
DOI :
10.1109/FBIE.2008.67