Title :
Generating daily changes in market variables using a multivariate mixture of normal distributions
Author_Institution :
Dept. of Math. & Comput. Sci., Valdosta State Univ., GA, USA
Abstract :
The mixture of normal distributions provides a useful extension of the normal distribution for modeling of daily changes in market variables with fatter-than-normal tails and skewness. An efficient analytical Monte Carlo method is proposed for generating daily changes using a multivariate mixture of normal distributions with arbitrary covariance matrix. The main purpose of this method is to transform (linearly) a multivariate normal with an input covariance matrix into the desired multivariate mixture of normal distributions. This input covariance matrix can be derived analytically. Any linear combination of mixtures of normal distributions can be shown to be a mixture of normal distributions
Keywords :
Monte Carlo methods; covariance matrices; modelling; normal distribution; analytical Monte Carlo method; arbitrary covariance matrix; daily change generation; fatter-than-normal tails; input covariance matrix; linear combination; market variables; modeling; multivariate mixture of normal distributions; multivariate normal; skewness; Analysis of variance; Computer science; Covariance matrix; Finance; Gaussian distribution; Mathematics; Nonlinear equations; Portfolios; Probability distribution; Transforms;
Conference_Titel :
Simulation Conference, 2001. Proceedings of the Winter
Conference_Location :
Arlington, VA
Print_ISBN :
0-7803-7307-3
DOI :
10.1109/WSC.2001.977286