Title :
High-Frequency Time Series Prediction Based on Wavelet Transform and ARMA Model
Author :
Zhang Hua ; Ren Ruo-en
Author_Institution :
Sch. of Econ. & Manage., Beihang Univ., Beijing, China
Abstract :
High-frequency time series prediction method based on wavelet transform and ARMA model (WARMA) is proposed. By wavelet decomposition and reconstruction, the original time series is decomposed into an approximate series and several detail series, the reconstructed series is more unitary than the original series in frequency, so it can be predicted with ARMA model. The prediction result of the original series can be obtained by the superposition predicting value of each reconstructed series. Experiment results show that the method gains advantage over the ARMA solely.
Keywords :
autoregressive moving average processes; forecasting theory; time series; wavelet transforms; ARMA; high-frequency time series prediction; wavelet decomposition; wavelet reconstruction; wavelet transform; Autocorrelation; Economic forecasting; Frequency; Low pass filters; Prediction methods; Predictive models; Reconstruction algorithms; Signal processing; Signal resolution; Wavelet transforms;
Conference_Titel :
Management and Service Science, 2009. MASS '09. International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Wuhan
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-4638-4
Electronic_ISBN :
978-1-4244-4639-1
DOI :
10.1109/ICMSS.2009.5302960