• DocumentCode
    2130981
  • Title

    The analysis based on BP and GARCH combination model in volatility of the securities market

  • Author

    Cheng, Song-lin

  • Author_Institution
    Institute of Mathematics and Physics, Shanghai Dianji University, China
  • fYear
    2010
  • fDate
    4-6 Dec. 2010
  • Firstpage
    5474
  • Lastpage
    5476
  • Abstract
    In order to fully exploit the volatility inherent principle in the return of the securities market, describing asymmetry volatility and heteroscedasticity of the securities market by GARCH method, and combining nonlinear approximating and generalization capability of the neural network, respectively set up GARCH(1,1) and GARCH-BP models for empirical analysis return rate of Shanghai stock index. The results demonstrate that, two models have significant fitting capability, but the latter is more accurate.
  • Keywords
    Analytical models; Artificial neural networks; Biological system modeling; Forecasting; Mathematical model; Predictive models; Security; GARCH; neural network; volatility;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Information Science and Engineering (ICISE), 2010 2nd International Conference on
  • Conference_Location
    Hangzhou, China
  • Print_ISBN
    978-1-4244-7616-9
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/ICISE.2010.5690520
  • Filename
    5690520