DocumentCode
2130981
Title
The analysis based on BP and GARCH combination model in volatility of the securities market
Author
Cheng, Song-lin
Author_Institution
Institute of Mathematics and Physics, Shanghai Dianji University, China
fYear
2010
fDate
4-6 Dec. 2010
Firstpage
5474
Lastpage
5476
Abstract
In order to fully exploit the volatility inherent principle in the return of the securities market, describing asymmetry volatility and heteroscedasticity of the securities market by GARCH method, and combining nonlinear approximating and generalization capability of the neural network, respectively set up GARCH(1,1) and GARCH-BP models for empirical analysis return rate of Shanghai stock index. The results demonstrate that, two models have significant fitting capability, but the latter is more accurate.
Keywords
Analytical models; Artificial neural networks; Biological system modeling; Forecasting; Mathematical model; Predictive models; Security; GARCH; neural network; volatility;
fLanguage
English
Publisher
ieee
Conference_Titel
Information Science and Engineering (ICISE), 2010 2nd International Conference on
Conference_Location
Hangzhou, China
Print_ISBN
978-1-4244-7616-9
Type
conf
DOI
10.1109/ICISE.2010.5690520
Filename
5690520
Link To Document