The Requirement Forecast of Geological Talents in China Based on Advantage of Grey System Theory

Author

Lei Yalin ; Zhong Bing

Author_Institution

Sch. of Humanities & Economic Manage., China Univ. of Geosci., Beijing, China

fYear

2009

fDate

20-22 Sept. 2009

Firstpage

1

Lastpage

4

Abstract

A reasonable prediction of the demand for geological talents has become a pressing issue in order to meet the requirement of geological talent caused by resources shortage and environment deterioration, and prevent blindness in the higher education expansion. According to the survey of relevant literature, there wasn´t a recognized method of geological talents demand forecasting at present. In this paper, we constructed a grey prediction model of the demand for geological talents in China based on grey modeling theory and the related data from 2000 to 2005. Meanwhile, the reliability of grey forecasting model was verified that it had higher prediction accuracy in the field of the short-term forecast of the quantity of geological talent, and a set of proposals for further modification of the model were put forward.

Keywords

demand forecasting; education; geology; grey systems; China; environment deterioration; geological talent demand forecasting; geological talent requirement forecast; grey prediction model; grey system theory; higher education; resource shortage; Accuracy; Demand forecasting; Economic forecasting; Environmental economics; Environmental management; Geology; Human resource management; Prediction methods; Predictive models; Time series analysis;

fLanguage

English

Publisher

ieee

Conference_Titel

Management and Service Science, 2009. MASS '09. International Conference on

Conference_Location

Wuhan

Print_ISBN

978-1-4244-4638-4

Electronic_ISBN

978-1-4244-4639-1

Type

conf

DOI

10.1109/ICMSS.2009.5303198

Filename

5303198