Title :
Extraneous risk, heterogeneous beliefs and the equity premium with jump-diffusion uncertainty
Author :
Huawei, Yang ; Liyan, Han
Author_Institution :
School of Mathematics and Statistics, Guizhou University of Finance and Economics, Guiyang China
Abstract :
We think stock price is decided not only by fundamental uncertainty but also by market nonfundamental (extraneous) uncertainty. Extraneous risk arises from agents heterogeneous beliefs about extraneous uncertainty. We provide a dynamic equilibrium model in the continuous-time pure-exchange economy where extraneous uncertainty is modeled by Poisson processes. We find that the stock´s market volatility is correlated with the dispersion of disagreement about extraneous jump risk and expected returns can also be explaned by heterogeneous beliefs about extraneous jump risk too.
Keywords :
Biological system modeling; Economics; Educational institutions; Pricing; Silicon; Stochastic processes; Uncertainty; asset pricing; extraneous risk; heterogeneous beliefs; jump;
Conference_Titel :
Information Science and Engineering (ICISE), 2010 2nd International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Hangzhou, China
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-7616-9
DOI :
10.1109/ICISE.2010.5690667