• DocumentCode
    2138675
  • Title

    Dynamics of credit risk for listed company in China

  • Author

    Zheng, Chengli ; Chen, Yan

  • Author_Institution
    School of Economics, Huazhong Normal University, Wuhan, 430079, China
  • fYear
    2010
  • fDate
    4-6 Dec. 2010
  • Firstpage
    2809
  • Lastpage
    2812
  • Abstract
    Referring to the model of KMV, combining the reality of ownership Separability for listed corporations in China, the mathematical frame of default rate forecasting and credit rating for listed corporations and its dynamic version is presented. Applying the model to delisted corporations and listed corporations (not ST or PT), it turns out that this method is powerful in forecasting default rate, especially in recognizing the relative credit quality for the companies. And this method could be applied in practice.
  • Keywords
    Analytical models; Biological system modeling; Companies; Equations; Forecasting; Mathematical model; Predictive models; Credit Risk; Default Rate; Dynamic Forecasting; KMV Model; Ownership Separability;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Information Science and Engineering (ICISE), 2010 2nd International Conference on
  • Conference_Location
    Hangzhou, China
  • Print_ISBN
    978-1-4244-7616-9
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/ICISE.2010.5690822
  • Filename
    5690822