• DocumentCode
    2139391
  • Title

    Time series forecasting based on the empirical mode decomposition multi-dimensional Taylor network model

  • Author

    Bo Zhou ; Hong-Sen Yan

  • Author_Institution
    Key Lab. of Meas. & Control of CSE, Southeast Univ., Nanjing, China
  • fYear
    2013
  • fDate
    23-25 July 2013
  • Firstpage
    1194
  • Lastpage
    1198
  • Abstract
    A method of the empirical mode decomposition multidimensional Taylor network for establishing the dynamics model and its parameters identification is proposed for time series forecasting. By the empirical mode decomposition algorithm, the time series are decomposed into one residue signal and several intrinsic mode function signals. The multi-dimensional Taylor network models are established for sub-time series with different intrinsic mode functions, respectively. The model parameters are trained by conjugate gradient method, and then the models are used for forecasting. Predictions of all the models are superimposed to obtain the predicted value of the original time series. Experimental results show this method for financial time series forecasting has high prediction accuracy.
  • Keywords
    conjugate gradient methods; finance; parameter estimation; time series; conjugate gradient method; dynamics model; empirical mode decomposition multidimensional Taylor network model; financial time series forecasting; intrinsic mode function signals; parameters identification; residue signal; subtime series; Artificial neural networks; Autoregressive processes; Data models; Empirical mode decomposition; Forecasting; Predictive models; Time series analysis; forecasting; multi-dimensional Taylor network; the empirical mode decompositiont; time series;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Natural Computation (ICNC), 2013 Ninth International Conference on
  • Conference_Location
    Shenyang
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/ICNC.2013.6818159
  • Filename
    6818159