Research on the Growth Trajectory of Communication, Computer and Other Electronic Equipment Industry in China

This paper analyzes the growth trajectory of communication, computer and other electronic equipment (CCEE) industry over the period of 1991-2006 by Simple Logistic Growth Model and Bi-logistic Growth Model, the analytical results indicate that there are two different growth trajectories among them. The sub-industries belonging to the second trajectory have Granger Casualty relation with software industry. In addition, the internal rate of return to R&D and the growth rate of total factor productivity (TFP) kept an increasing trend before 2003, but has changed to decrease since that year, which indicated that CCEE industry begins to change from rapid growth period to relatively slow growth mature period.