The Fire Development Analysis of China at the Post Commercial Crisis

The global commercial crisis caused new problems and new challenges to the fire departments of China. This paper selected the parameters, which could reflect the fire development of current fire situation, including the number of fire event cases, the number of injured and died, and the direct economic losses of fire, and then using gray GM(1,1) prediction model to analysis the fire development trend of China under post commercial crisis. Results show that, under the background of sustained development of economy, the fire development situation in China will not change much in the recent future, but also fire service need to be strengthened, to further improve the ability for fire forces to serve the economy construction. This paper´s conclusion can be a basis and guideline for the fire development strategy creating and real fire services.