• DocumentCode
    2175468
  • Title

    Daily stock market forecast from textual web data

  • Author

    Wuthrich, B. ; Cho, Vincent ; Leung, Sai-Wing ; Sankaran, K. ; Zhang, Juyong

  • Author_Institution
    Hong Kong Univ. of Sci. & Technol., Clear Water Bay
  • Volume
    3
  • fYear
    1998
  • fDate
    11-14 Oct 1998
  • Firstpage
    2720
  • Abstract
    Our aim is to predict stock markets using information contained in articles published on the Web, mostly textual articles appearing in the leading and influential financial newspapers. From those articles the daily closing values of major stock market indices in Asia, Europe and America are predicted. Textual statements contain not only the effect but also why it happened. A prediction system has been built that uses data mining techniques and sophisticated keyword tuple counting and transformation to produce periodically forecasts in stock markets. Exploiting textual information in addition to numeric time series data increases the quality of the input, hence improved predictions are expected. The forecasts are available in real-time via the Internet Web site. The system´s accuracy for this difficult but also extremely challenging application is highly promising
  • Keywords
    Internet; data mining; financial data processing; forecasting theory; real-time systems; stock markets; time series; Internet; Web site; daily forecasting; data mining; keyword tuple counting; real-time systems; stock market; textual web data; time series; Asia; Citation analysis; Data mining; Economic forecasting; Europe; Face; Humans; Information analysis; Stock markets; Web sites;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Systems, Man, and Cybernetics, 1998. 1998 IEEE International Conference on
  • Conference_Location
    San Diego, CA
  • ISSN
    1062-922X
  • Print_ISBN
    0-7803-4778-1
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/ICSMC.1998.725072
  • Filename
    725072