DocumentCode
2175468
Title
Daily stock market forecast from textual web data
Author
Wuthrich, B. ; Cho, Vincent ; Leung, Sai-Wing ; Sankaran, K. ; Zhang, Juyong
Author_Institution
Hong Kong Univ. of Sci. & Technol., Clear Water Bay
Volume
3
fYear
1998
fDate
11-14 Oct 1998
Firstpage
2720
Abstract
Our aim is to predict stock markets using information contained in articles published on the Web, mostly textual articles appearing in the leading and influential financial newspapers. From those articles the daily closing values of major stock market indices in Asia, Europe and America are predicted. Textual statements contain not only the effect but also why it happened. A prediction system has been built that uses data mining techniques and sophisticated keyword tuple counting and transformation to produce periodically forecasts in stock markets. Exploiting textual information in addition to numeric time series data increases the quality of the input, hence improved predictions are expected. The forecasts are available in real-time via the Internet Web site. The system´s accuracy for this difficult but also extremely challenging application is highly promising
Keywords
Internet; data mining; financial data processing; forecasting theory; real-time systems; stock markets; time series; Internet; Web site; daily forecasting; data mining; keyword tuple counting; real-time systems; stock market; textual web data; time series; Asia; Citation analysis; Data mining; Economic forecasting; Europe; Face; Humans; Information analysis; Stock markets; Web sites;
fLanguage
English
Publisher
ieee
Conference_Titel
Systems, Man, and Cybernetics, 1998. 1998 IEEE International Conference on
Conference_Location
San Diego, CA
ISSN
1062-922X
Print_ISBN
0-7803-4778-1
Type
conf
DOI
10.1109/ICSMC.1998.725072
Filename
725072
Link To Document