• DocumentCode
    2178560
  • Title

    Efficient simulation for tail probabilities of Gaussian random fields

  • Author

    Adler, Robert J. ; Blanchet, Jose ; Liu, Jingchen

  • Author_Institution
    Fac. of Ind. Eng. & Manage., Technion - Israel Inst. of Technol., Haifa, Israel
  • fYear
    2008
  • fDate
    7-10 Dec. 2008
  • Firstpage
    328
  • Lastpage
    336
  • Abstract
    We are interested in computing tail probabilities for the maxima of Gaussian random fields. In this paper, we discuss two special cases: random fields defined over a finite number of distinct point and fields with finite Karhunen-Loeve expansions. For the first case we propose an importance sampling estimator which yields asymptotically zero relative error. Moreover, it yields a procedure for sampling the field conditional on it having an excursion above a high level with a complexity that is uniformly bounded as the level increases. In the second case we propose an estimator which is asymptotically optimal. These results serve as a first step analysis of rare-event simulation for Gaussian random fields.
  • Keywords
    Gaussian processes; Karhunen-Loeve transforms; estimation theory; probability; sampling methods; Gaussian random fields; finite Karhunen-Loeve expansions; importance sampling estimator; rare-event simulation; tail probabilities; Computational modeling; Extraterrestrial measurements; Industrial engineering; Monte Carlo methods; Ocean temperature; Probability; Sampling methods; Sea measurements; Statistics; Tail;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Simulation Conference, 2008. WSC 2008. Winter
  • Conference_Location
    Austin, TX
  • Print_ISBN
    978-1-4244-2707-9
  • Electronic_ISBN
    978-1-4244-2708-6
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/WSC.2008.4736085
  • Filename
    4736085