Title :
Simulation as a tool for life cycle cost analysis
Author :
Shahata, Khaled ; Zayed, Tarek
Author_Institution :
UMA Eng. Ltd., Mississauga, ON, Canada
Abstract :
Life cycle cost is an essential approach to decide on alternative rehabilitation strategies for infrastructure systems. Monte Carlo simulation approach is used to develop a stochastic life cycle cost (SLCC) model and methodology in order to compare different rehabilitation scenarios/ alternatives for infrastructures, such as water mains. The presented research in this paper identifies several rehabilitation methods for water mains, which are classified into three main categories: repair, renovation, and replacement. The developed model helps academics and practitioners (e.g. municipal engineers) to predict the suitable new installation and/or rehabilitation programs as well as their corresponding costs, thereby, to avoid any unpleasant surprises.
Keywords :
Monte Carlo methods; life cycle costing; stochastic processes; Monte Carlo simulation; infrastructure systems; life cycle cost analysis; rehabilitation methods; rehabilitation programs; rehabilitation scenarios; rehabilitation strategies; renovation; repair; replacement; stochastic life cycle cost; water mains; Analytical models; Costs; Data analysis; Equations; Performance analysis; Predictive models; Probability distribution; Stochastic processes; Timing; Uncertainty;
Conference_Titel :
Simulation Conference, 2008. WSC 2008. Winter
Conference_Location :
Austin, TX
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-2707-9
Electronic_ISBN :
978-1-4244-2708-6
DOI :
10.1109/WSC.2008.4736359