Title :
Who’s your Tiger? Using simulation to optimize the lineup of the Detroit Tigers offense
Author :
Davis, Jared ; Fordyce, Barbara ; Cicala, James ; Cooper, Matthew ; Tsimhoni, Omer
Author_Institution :
Dept. of Ind. & Oper. Eng., Univ. of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA
Abstract :
As part of an undergraduate engineering class project, a simulation of the Detroit Tigers offense was created to explore potential changes that would increase number of wins. More specifically, we seek to determine a lineup for an MLB team, the Detroit Tigers, that would maximize their potential runs. To answer our ultimate question of whether a manager actually maximizes runs scores, we compare our results to the Tigers´ 2007 performance. We determine that though the Tigers did not use the ideal lineup as determined by our model, the lineup they did utilize was moderately robust, with ours winning 89.6 games versus the actual wins of 88 games. Additionally, we apply our model to a normative analysis of the Tigers ideal lineup for the 2008 season. This ideal lineup only changes the middle of the batting order (acceptable by management) and is predicted to win 99 games in the 2008 season.
Keywords :
digital simulation; engineering education; sport; Detroit Tigers offense; MLB team; Tigers ideal lineup; normative analysis; undergraduate engineering class project; Analytical models; Financial management; Game theory; History; Marketing and sales; Predictive models; Recruitment; Robustness; Statistical analysis; Statistics;
Conference_Titel :
Simulation Conference, 2008. WSC 2008. Winter
Conference_Location :
Austin, TX
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-2707-9
Electronic_ISBN :
978-1-4244-2708-6
DOI :
10.1109/WSC.2008.4736404