• DocumentCode
    2194712
  • Title

    Multi-step Time Series Prediction in Complex Instrumented Domains

  • Author

    Dhurandhar, Amit

  • Author_Institution
    T.J. Watson Res. Center, IBM, Yorktown Heights, NY, USA
  • fYear
    2010
  • fDate
    13-13 Dec. 2010
  • Firstpage
    1312
  • Lastpage
    1319
  • Abstract
    Time series prediction algorithms are widely used for applications such as demand forecasting, weather forecasting and many others to make well informed decisions. In this paper, we compare the most prevalent of these methods as well as suggest our own, where the time series are generated from highly complex industrial processes. These time series are non-stationary and the relationships between the various time series vary with time. Given a set of time series from an industrial process, the challenge is to keep predicting a chosen one as far ahead as possible, with the knowledge of the other time series at those instants in time. This scenario occurs, since the chosen time series is usually very expensive to measure or extremely difficult to obtain compared to the rest. Our studies on real data suggest, that our method is substantially more robust to predicting multiple steps ahead than the existing methods in these complex domains.
  • Keywords
    learning (artificial intelligence); time series; complex instrumented domains; highly complex industrial processes; multistep time series prediction; non-stationary; time series;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Data Mining Workshops (ICDMW), 2010 IEEE International Conference on
  • Conference_Location
    Sydney, NSW
  • Print_ISBN
    978-1-4244-9244-2
  • Electronic_ISBN
    978-0-7695-4257-7
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/ICDMW.2010.8
  • Filename
    5693445