Estimation and Analysis of the Cost for Healthy China by 2020

Author

Wang Hong ; Wu Zhong ; Li Hongyan

Author_Institution

Sch. of Manage. Studies, Shanghai Univ. of Eng. Sci., Shanghai, China

fYear

2009

fDate

24-26 Sept. 2009

Firstpage

1

Lastpage

4

Abstract

Based on the four health criteria, the present indicators closely related to people\´s health, and studies of the United States, Canada, Britain, Japan and other countries on indicators of health inspection, the article develops a system of health cost estimation indicators, in which health status indicators proclaimed by WHO and health development of the "11th Five-Year" Plan laid by Ministry of Health are taken into consideration as well. Besides, the method to estimate the cost of Healthy China by 2020 is obtained. Methods used in the paper are Delphi method, attribute listing method, induction and deduction method, countries comparison method and so on. According to the study, the forecast of health cost by 2020 is between 8.45 trillion Yuan and 8.94 trillion Yuan with a 10% GDP growth rate.

Keywords

economics; forecasting theory; health care; AD 2020; China; Chinese Ministry of Health; Delphi method; WHO; World Health Organization; attribute listing method; health cost estimation; health criteria; induction-deduction method; Control systems; Costs; Economic indicators; Engineering management; Ethics; Inspection; Medical control systems; Meeting planning; Security; State estimation;

fLanguage

English

Publisher

ieee

Conference_Titel

Wireless Communications, Networking and Mobile Computing, 2009. WiCom '09. 5th International Conference on

Conference_Location

Beijing

Print_ISBN

978-1-4244-3692-7

Electronic_ISBN

978-1-4244-3693-4

Type

conf

DOI

10.1109/WICOM.2009.5305686

Filename

5305686