Title :
Stochastic optimal capacity limits with linear management costs
Author :
Asl, Farshid Maghami ; Ulsoy, A. Galip
Author_Institution :
Dept. of Mech. Eng., Michigan Univ., Ann Arbor, MI, USA
Abstract :
An optimal capacity management policy, based on Markov decision theory, is presented for a firm facing stochastic market demand with linear management costs. The optimal policy is presented as optimal boundaries and their limits representing the optimal capacity expansion and reduction levels. These boundaries show over time, regions where capacity should be unchanged, increased, or decreased in response to market demand based on the available information on the demand forecasts.
Keywords :
Markov processes; demand forecasting; management accounting; market opportunities; optimisation; Markov decision theory; demand forecasts; expansion level; linear management cost; market demand; reduction level; stochastic optimal capacity; Cost function; Decision theory; Demand forecasting; Economic forecasting; Engineering management; Marketing management; Mechanical engineering; Probability density function; Probability distribution; Stochastic processes;
Conference_Titel :
American Control Conference, 2003. Proceedings of the 2003
Print_ISBN :
0-7803-7896-2
DOI :
10.1109/ACC.2003.1240534