Simulation and Evaluation for the Emergency Management under the Situation of Fatal Disaster

It is difficult to get a feasible emergency plan when the uncertainty emergency event occurs. One of the main reasons is that there is no a well decision-making system to support it. Simulation method has many advantages, such as no constraining to the space and time, safety, low cost and so on. In this article the emergency simulation orient to the processing of the emergency event is researched. The main work includes as follows: first, analyze the factors of the emergency plan in the process of the action. Second, a simulation model is put forth based on the simulation architecture for the emergency action. Next, the best emergency plan is gotten by evaluating the operational effectiveness of these plans. Based on the simulation of the emergency response, the emergency plans are analyzed, and the results can support the decision-making for the government or society. As an example, a scenario of a fatal earthquake event is built to simulate the disaster environment base on the STAGE software. With all the available emergency plans are simulated and evaluated, the best emergency plan is gotten. This research results show meaningful and feasible.