DocumentCode :
2214507
Title :
Grey Correlation in the Combined Weights of Power Load Forecasting Application
Author :
Yuansheng, Huang ; Huijuan, Zhang
Author_Institution :
Sch. of Bus. Adm., North China Electr. Power Univ., Baoding
Volume :
1
fYear :
2008
fDate :
19-21 Dec. 2008
Firstpage :
292
Lastpage :
295
Abstract :
Electric load forecasting on the power system operation and control plan has a very important impact, but the complexity and uncertainties of the load forecasting make the traditional single forecasting model difficult to get accurate results. To improve the accuracy of power load forecasting, this paper constructs a combined forecasting model. It synthesizes grey hierarchical model, the "S" curve model and stepwise regression model forecasting results by using grey correlation as the basis of determining combined weights, the forecasting results are synthesized and coordinated to be more precise and reasonable.
Keywords :
grey systems; load forecasting; power system control; power system economics; regression analysis; S curve model; electric load forecasting; grey hierarchical model; power load forecasting; power system control; power system operation; stepwise regression model; Control system synthesis; Econometrics; Economic forecasting; Load forecasting; Power generation economics; Power system economics; Power system modeling; Power system security; Predictive models; Uncertainty; combined weights; electric load forecasting; electricity system; grey correlation;
fLanguage :
English
Publisher :
ieee
Conference_Titel :
Information Management, Innovation Management and Industrial Engineering, 2008. ICIII '08. International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Taipei
Print_ISBN :
978-0-7695-3435-0
Type :
conf
DOI :
10.1109/ICIII.2008.46
Filename :
4737547
Link To Document :
بازگشت