Title :
A fuzzy BOT project risk evaluation model in iranian power plant industry
Author :
Ebrahimnejad, S. ; Mousavi, S.M. ; Mojtahedi, S.M.H.
Author_Institution :
Dept. of Ind. Eng., Islamic Azad Univ. - Karaj Branch, Karaj, Iran
Abstract :
Nowadays the most common approaches for project financing is called BOT (Build - Operate - Transfer). One of the most practical financing infrastructure by private capital, in which governmental strategic control is preserved. In spite of this advantage, BOT projects may be so riskful for private and public sectors. Therefore, risk identification and management is so important in BOT projects. In this paper, at first we identify some of the most important risks in BOT power plant projects; then we use some effective criteria and attributes assigned for risk evaluating in BOT approach. Afterwards the problem is defined via fuzzy Multi Attribute Decision Making (MADM) method. Therefore, a fuzzy LINMAP method is presented to evaluate the risk in BOT projects. Finally, a case study is used to illustrate the procedure of the proposed model at the end of paper.
Keywords :
decision making; fuzzy set theory; power plants; power system management; risk analysis; Iranian power plant industry; financing infrastructure; fuzzy BOT project risk evaluation model; fuzzy LINMAP method; fuzzy multiattribute decision making; governmental strategic control; private capital; private sectors; project financing; public sectors; risk identification; risk management; Contracts; Costs; Dynamic programming; Fuzzy sets; Industrial engineering; Power generation; Power generation economics; Risk management; Statistics; Utility theory; BOT project; fuzzy LINMAP; risk evaluation; risk identification;
Conference_Titel :
Industrial Engineering and Engineering Management, 2008. IEEM 2008. IEEE International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Singapore
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-2629-4
Electronic_ISBN :
978-1-4244-2630-0
DOI :
10.1109/IEEM.2008.4738028