DocumentCode
2229297
Title
Construction of the Early-warning Systems with Debt Risk Indexes for the Local Government and Demonstration Analysis: Take State of Yunnan Province for Example
Author
Cairen, Nie ; Guangbing, Zhang
Author_Institution
Sch. of Econ. & Manage., Yunnan Normal Univ., Kunming, China
Volume
4
fYear
2010
fDate
26-28 Nov. 2010
Firstpage
135
Lastpage
138
Abstract
In this paper, on the basis of previous studies derived the local government debt risk assessment model, established risk prediction methods by using BP artificial neural network model, and analyzed this method through an example. So provide a set of scientific method to evaluate the local government debt risk and predict the short-term risk. This is useful for adoption effective means to control of the local government debt risk.
Keywords
alarm systems; backpropagation; local government; neural nets; public finance; risk analysis; BP artificial neural network; debt risk index; early warning system; local government debt; risk assessment model; risk prediction method; BP neural network; Local government debt; analytic hierarchy; risk;
fLanguage
English
Publisher
ieee
Conference_Titel
Information Management, Innovation Management and Industrial Engineering (ICIII), 2010 International Conference on
Conference_Location
Kunming
Print_ISBN
978-1-4244-8829-2
Type
conf
DOI
10.1109/ICIII.2010.510
Filename
5694865
Link To Document