DocumentCode
2239719
Title
Modeling solution and properties research on the General GM(1,1) model
Author
Wei, Zhou ; Jian-min, He
Author_Institution
Sch. of Econ. & Adm., Southeast Univ., Nanjing, China
fYear
2011
fDate
13-15 Sept. 2011
Firstpage
73
Lastpage
78
Abstract
Discrete GM(1,1) model solves the bias defect in homogeneous exponential fitting using GM (1,1) model. General GM(1,1) model solves the conversion problem of the original equation between differential form and differential form, and can effectively profile GM(1,1) model and Discrete GM(1,1) model. But, the modeling mechanism, solution approach and lots of good properties about General GM(1,1) model do not take in-depth studying. So that, we research the mechanism of the General GM(1,1) modeling and three solution approaches about the stepwise ratio including the fitting approach of initial information, the fitting approach of new information and the overall error minimization approach in this paper. Then, we further detailed analysis some important properties such as the general nature, the fitting optimization property, the homogeneous exponential property and the unbiased property to fit homogeneous exponent. At last, the feasibility and the optimization properties are confirmed through an real example. Then, General GM(1,1) model and Grey Prediction Theory could be effetely improved and perfected for this article.
Keywords
grey systems; prediction theory; differential form; discrete GM(1,1) model; fitting optimization property; general GM(1,1) model; grey prediction theory; homogeneous exponential fitting; homogeneous exponential property; unbiased property; Analytical models; Data models; Equations; Fitting; Mathematical model; Predictive models; Time factors; 1) model; General GM(1; original equation; stepwise ratio; time response function;
fLanguage
English
Publisher
ieee
Conference_Titel
Management Science and Engineering (ICMSE), 2011 International Conference on
Conference_Location
Rome
ISSN
2155-1847
Print_ISBN
978-1-4577-1885-4
Type
conf
DOI
10.1109/ICMSE.2011.6069945
Filename
6069945
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