• DocumentCode
    2249629
  • Title

    Phase space reconstruction and prediction of multivariate chaotic time series

  • Author

    Zhang, Chun-tao ; Guo, Jiao ; Ma, Qian-li ; Peng, Hong ; Zhang, Xiao-dong

  • Author_Institution
    Coll. of Mathematic & Comput. Sci., Chongqing Three Gorges Univ., Chongqing, China
  • Volume
    5
  • fYear
    2010
  • fDate
    11-14 July 2010
  • Firstpage
    2428
  • Lastpage
    2433
  • Abstract
    In order to obtain the effective input vector for the prediction of multivariate time series, method of joint entropy determine the dimension(JEDD) is proposed in the reconstructed phase space. For multivariate chaotic time series, Firstly, determine the delay time of each variate with mutual information method, and then propose the algorithm that determines the embedding dimension of phase space by the joint entropy. The algorithm could choose the reconstructed components based on the maximum entropy principle, continuously expand phase space to make the amount of the information of reconstructed components as much as the system, which could eliminate the redundancy of phase space. The numerical experiments show that the neutral network prediction in the reconstructed phase space by JEDD is much better than univariate time series prediction and existing multiple variable predictions.
  • Keywords
    chaos; delays; maximum entropy methods; time series; JEDD; delay time; maximum entropy principle; multivariate chaotic time series prediction; mutual information method; neutral network prediction; phase space reconstruction; Artificial neural networks; Chaos; Delay effects; Entropy; Joints; Mutual information; Time series analysis; Embedding dimension; Joint entropy; Multivariate chaotic time series; Neutral network prediction;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Machine Learning and Cybernetics (ICMLC), 2010 International Conference on
  • Conference_Location
    Qingdao
  • Print_ISBN
    978-1-4244-6526-2
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/ICMLC.2010.5580749
  • Filename
    5580749