DocumentCode
2249629
Title
Phase space reconstruction and prediction of multivariate chaotic time series
Author
Zhang, Chun-tao ; Guo, Jiao ; Ma, Qian-li ; Peng, Hong ; Zhang, Xiao-dong
Author_Institution
Coll. of Mathematic & Comput. Sci., Chongqing Three Gorges Univ., Chongqing, China
Volume
5
fYear
2010
fDate
11-14 July 2010
Firstpage
2428
Lastpage
2433
Abstract
In order to obtain the effective input vector for the prediction of multivariate time series, method of joint entropy determine the dimension(JEDD) is proposed in the reconstructed phase space. For multivariate chaotic time series, Firstly, determine the delay time of each variate with mutual information method, and then propose the algorithm that determines the embedding dimension of phase space by the joint entropy. The algorithm could choose the reconstructed components based on the maximum entropy principle, continuously expand phase space to make the amount of the information of reconstructed components as much as the system, which could eliminate the redundancy of phase space. The numerical experiments show that the neutral network prediction in the reconstructed phase space by JEDD is much better than univariate time series prediction and existing multiple variable predictions.
Keywords
chaos; delays; maximum entropy methods; time series; JEDD; delay time; maximum entropy principle; multivariate chaotic time series prediction; mutual information method; neutral network prediction; phase space reconstruction; Artificial neural networks; Chaos; Delay effects; Entropy; Joints; Mutual information; Time series analysis; Embedding dimension; Joint entropy; Multivariate chaotic time series; Neutral network prediction;
fLanguage
English
Publisher
ieee
Conference_Titel
Machine Learning and Cybernetics (ICMLC), 2010 International Conference on
Conference_Location
Qingdao
Print_ISBN
978-1-4244-6526-2
Type
conf
DOI
10.1109/ICMLC.2010.5580749
Filename
5580749
Link To Document