DocumentCode
2250557
Title
The stylized properties of artificial stock market comparison with Chinese empirical data
Author
Lu, Chao ; Zhang, Zhifeng
Author_Institution
Sch. of Finance, Renmin Univ. of China, Beijing, China
Volume
1
fYear
2010
fDate
6-7 March 2010
Firstpage
481
Lastpage
484
Abstract
In the decade,the use of agent-based simulations of market has been acceptance by more and more social scientists. This paper presents the construction of the artificial stock market that the artificial intelligent algorithms take on the role of trades. They make predictions about the future, and buy and sell stock as indicated by their expectations of future risk and return. Prices are set endogenously to clear the market. Time series from this market are analyzed from the standpoint of well-known empirical features in Chinese stock market. The artificial stock market is able to replicate several of these phenomenon, including volatility clustering, the excess kurtosis of the distribution of return, especially fractal structure. From this point, the artificial stock market can not only generate stock price trends and properties rather similar to the real stock market, but also show the fractal structure in deep consistency with the real stock market. So, research on the artificial stock market can reveal evolution rule of real stock market, operate mechanism, policy influence and better investment strategy.
Keywords
artificial intelligence; investment; stock markets; time series; Chinese empirical data; agent-based simulations; artificial intelligent algorithms; artificial stock market properties; fractal structure; investment strategy; social scientists; stock price trends; time series; volatility clustering; Asia; Bonding; Economic forecasting; Fractals; Informatics; Investments; Iron; Physics; Robotics and automation; Stock markets; Artificial stock market; Statistical propertical of stock market; rescaled range analysis(R/S analysis);
fLanguage
English
Publisher
ieee
Conference_Titel
Informatics in Control, Automation and Robotics (CAR), 2010 2nd International Asia Conference on
Conference_Location
Wuhan
ISSN
1948-3414
Print_ISBN
978-1-4244-5192-0
Electronic_ISBN
1948-3414
Type
conf
DOI
10.1109/CAR.2010.5456792
Filename
5456792
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