Title :
Traffic Flow Prediction of Chaos Time Series by Using Subtractive Clustering for Fuzzy Neural Network Modeling
Author :
Pang Ming-bao ; Zhao Xin-ping
Author_Institution :
Transp. Dept., Hebei Univ. of Technol., Tianjin, China
Abstract :
The method was studied about traffic flow prediction by using subtractive clustering for fuzzy neural network model of phase-space reconstruction. The prediction model of traffic flow must be established to satisfy the intelligent need of high precision through analyzing problems of the existing predicting methods in chaos traffic flow time series and the demand of uncertain traffic system. Based on the powerful nonlinear mapping ability of neural network and the characteristics of fuzzy logic, which can combine the prior knowledge with fuzzy rules, the knowledge base of the traffic flow predicting system was established by using fuzzy neural network model based on subtractive clustering. Subtractive clustering generates the number of fuzzy rules and the clustering centers are regarded as the initial training parameters of the predicting modeling. The predicting model of fuzzy neural network can be quickly trained online. Genetic algorithm was used in determining the clustering radius. The simulation result shows its correctness and feasibility.
Keywords :
chaos; fuzzy logic; fuzzy neural nets; fuzzy set theory; genetic algorithms; knowledge based systems; pattern clustering; phase space methods; time series; traffic engineering computing; chaos time series; chaos traffic flow time series; fuzzy logic; fuzzy neural network modeling; fuzzy rules; genetic algorithm; knowledge base; nonlinear mapping ability; phase-space reconstruction; subtractive clustering; traffic flow predicting system; traffic flow prediction; uncertain traffic system; Chaos; Fuzzy logic; Fuzzy neural networks; Fuzzy systems; Neural networks; Power system modeling; Predictive models; Telecommunication traffic; Time series analysis; Traffic control; Traffic flow; chaos; fuzzy neural network (FNN); genetic algorithm; intelligent transportation system(ITS); subtractive clustering;
Conference_Titel :
Intelligent Information Technology Application, 2008. IITA '08. Second International Symposium on
Conference_Location :
Shanghai
Print_ISBN :
978-0-7695-3497-8
DOI :
10.1109/IITA.2008.50