Title :
Financial distress prediction based on ensemble classifiers of multiple reductions
Author :
Hui, Xiao-Feng ; Han, Jian-Guang ; Sun, Jie
Author_Institution :
Sch. of Manage., Harbin Inst. of Technol., Harbin, China
Abstract :
Financial distress prediction is an important research topic in both academic and practical world. This paper puts forward a financial distress prediction model based on multiple reduction ensembles, which employs neighborhood rough set based attribute reduction to generate a set of reducts, then each reduct is used to train a base classifier, and finally their results are combined through simple majority voting. Taking Chinese listed companies´ real world data as sample data, adopting 10-fold cross validation technique to assess predictive performance, an experiment study is carried out. By comparing the experiment results with the raw data and the single reduct based classifiers, it is concluded that this model can improve the average prediction accuracy or both accuracy and stability, so it is more suitable for financial distress prediction than the single reduct based classifiers.
Keywords :
financial data processing; learning (artificial intelligence); rough set theory; base classifier; cross validation technique; financial distress prediction; multiple reduction; real world data; rough set theory; Artificial intelligence; Conference management; Engineering management; Financial management; Forward contracts; Learning systems; Predictive models; Sun; Support vector machines; Technology management; attribute reduction; ensemble classifiers; financial distress prediction; multiple classifier system; neighborhood rough set;
Conference_Titel :
Management Science and Engineering, 2009. ICMSE 2009. International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Moscow
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-3970-6
Electronic_ISBN :
978-1-4244-3971-3
DOI :
10.1109/ICMSE.2009.5318092