Simulation of covariance analysis describing equation technique (CADET) in missile hit probability calculation

Monte Carlo method is always used in calculating the probability of a missile hit, but it usually cost a lot of time to get accurate statistics. This paper makes use of covariance analysis describing equation technique (CADET) by performance analysis of rapid and comprehensive of missile system. First we elaborate on the primary coverage of CADET. Then we show the application of CADET in the assessment of missile hit probability in combination with a non-linear model of missile. At last, we analyze the pros and cons of CADET by comparing with the result of Monte Carlo method.