Title :
Comparative study of financial distress prediction via op timized SVM
Author_Institution :
Coll. of Basic Sci., Harbin Univ. of Commerce, Harbin, China
Abstract :
This paper investigates the development and modeling problem for financial distress prediction via optimized support vector machine (SVM). Based on parameters optimization and model selection idea, the swarm intelligence algorithm of Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO)-SVM is proposed for financial distress predicting process with strong coupling and nonlinear characteristics through the principle component analysis (PCA). Furthermore, Logistic regression (LR) algorithm is induced to make a comparison with Least-Square support vector machine (LS-SVM) and PSO-SVM. The simulation results show that the presented algorithms could get the satisfied accuracy effectively, and by contrast, PSO-SVM shows a better learning ability and generalization in financial distress predicting process modeling, and could establish predictive model with better accessibility.
Keywords :
financial data processing; learning (artificial intelligence); least squares approximations; particle swarm optimisation; principal component analysis; regression analysis; support vector machines; swarm intelligence; LR algorithm; LS-SVM; PCA; PSO; coupling characteristics; financial distress predicting process modeling; learning ability; learning generalization; least-square support vector machine; logistic regression algorithm; model selection idea; nonlinear characteristics; parameters optimization; particle swarm optimization; principle component analysis; swarm intelligence algorithm; Abstracts; Couplings; Equations; Mathematical model; Prediction algorithms; Predictive models; Support vector machines; Financial Distress Prediction; LS-SVM; PCA; PSO;
Conference_Titel :
Machine Learning and Cybernetics (ICMLC), 2012 International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Xian
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4673-1484-8
DOI :
10.1109/ICMLC.2012.6358968