DocumentCode :
232442
Title :
Study on combination forecasting of gas daily load based on the generalized dynamic fuzzy neural network
Author :
Chen Hongli ; Wang Ziyuan ; Yu Pei
Author_Institution :
Coll. of Autom., Harbin Eng. Univ., Harbin, China
fYear :
2014
fDate :
28-30 July 2014
Firstpage :
6235
Lastpage :
6239
Abstract :
A method based on elliptic basis function, which is a combination forecasting of gas daily load based on the GD-FNN, is proposed. Prior knowledge of fuzzy neural structure isn´t needed, nor does pre-training. It builds models by online adaptive learning algorithm completely. Nonlinear combination of weights is obtained through the network dynamic learning, which is based on the principle of minimum total error, and is not limited to the nonlinear weights. The recurrent neural network can make the training speedy, the learning algorithm simple, and the relative error fluctuations of the gradient regression neural network stable; besides, less information is needed in the gray forecasting. In addition, it can weaken the randomness of the data, by selecting the three single forecasting methods: GRNN, gray GRNN and gradient GRNN to predict the daily load and take its output as the input of GD-FNN. The system simulation experiments prove that the proposed method is of high efficiency.
Keywords :
fuzzy neural nets; gas industry; gradient methods; learning (artificial intelligence); natural gas technology; recurrent neural nets; regression analysis; GD-FNN; elliptic basis function; fuzzy neural structure; gas daily load combination forecasting; generalized dynamic fuzzy neural network; gradient GRNN; gradient regression neural network stability; gray GRNN; gray forecasting; minimum total error; network dynamic learning; nonlinear weight combination; online adaptive learning algorithm; recurrent neural network; relative error fluctuations; Forecasting; Fuzzy neural networks; Heuristic algorithms; Load modeling; Neural networks; Predictive models; Training; GD-FNN; Gray GRNN; gradient GRNN;
fLanguage :
English
Publisher :
ieee
Conference_Titel :
Control Conference (CCC), 2014 33rd Chinese
Conference_Location :
Nanjing
Type :
conf
DOI :
10.1109/ChiCC.2014.6896012
Filename :
6896012
Link To Document :
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